The dollar extended its loss versus the euro and sterling on expectations that the Fed may cut interest rates again next week. The dollar index slumped to a fresh all-time low at 77.035. The euro approached 1.44 versus the dollar, while the sterling rose to as high as 2.0571.
This week's economic data, including housing sales, durable goods orders, weekly jobless claims and today's consumer sentiment index, all showed signs of economic growth slow down. University of Michigan consumer sentiment index fell from 83.4 to 80.9 in October, below the estimate of 82.
It is widely expected that the Fed will lower rates by a quarter-percentage point to 4.00%. Under the pressure of housing slump and rising credit costs, the nation's economic growth may slow down in the future. The overall sentiment on the dollar is bearish.
source: forexnews.com
Dollar Hit Record Low
Friday the 13th
Today is Friday the 13th and also the last day of the trading week. For those directional traders who has paraskavedekatriaphobia, their heightened state of anxiety or fear could have save them from the whipsaw that happened to the majors earlier. It has some advatages being superstitious sometimes, it makes you more caution of things that happening around you.
We had 2 economic news announcement earlier. The Retail Sales (8:30am) and the Consumer Sentiment (10:00am). The 8:30 numbers came out way lower than expected and the 10:00 numbers which is the more important one (for inflation gauge) came out far better than expected. This 2 contradict announcement causes the whipsaw. I bet a lot of small players trading the directional ways with tight stoploss got stopped out on that.
This is the reason why I don't trade the news and hedge the market instead. To know more about the tools I'm using. You may contact/email me at harwin21@yahoo.com. I can set you up with my friend (MikeQC) who is an active sales rep for FreedomRocks. He'll walk you through the process and give you a free trial for the FR software.
For the other tool that I'm using. Which is the True North Hedge Calc., You may just click the yellow banner on the sidetab of this page.
EUR/CHF ended the week with only 7pips below the opening price of this week (1.6594). There were lots of buy & sell hedge opportunities on the small range bounce. I had a great trading week, hope you guys aswhile. Happy weekends everyone!
